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Hull, Reading, and the treble of Gretna, Chelski and Man U coming in, and
only Motherwell and Rochdale letting the singles down for a grand total of
27% weekly profit.
So to this weeks fixed odds picks:
HIBS Away v Livingston - 2.24
Now I 100% despise backing against Livi, firstly cos it makes me feel grubby
and disloyal, and secondly it guarantees a hollow betting win, or a hollow
victory with no cash for the pub.
However, we wont see odds on Hibs at above evens for long if they carry on
the way they are. They eventually beat Dundee 2-0 in the cup, but in truth
they could have rattled up atleast 5 if O'Connor hadn't had a bad day.
Hibs' last two away performances(not including the Celtic game) were both
thumping 4-1 successes, and they beat Livi 2-1 earlier in the season at a
time when they weren't playing as well as they are now.
Livingstons new signings are unlikely to be match fit, and their youngsters
might struggle to keep pace with the on-fire Hibs attacks. The recent loss
of Craig Rocastle seems to have done little to hurt their flow, and the
return of Guillaume Beuzelin could be a further bonus. Good value here IMO.
PARTICK Home v QOS - 2.38
A big chance here for Partick to rubber stamp their turnaround. A win over
Falkirk and draw with St Mirren set the tone, and they were much improved in
the Cup draw with Hearts last week under new manager Dick Campbell, and Juan
Escalas looks like he is coming back onto a game. They still have a decent
squad, and if they continue this turnaround these odds wont be around for
long. QOS haven't won in their last 6 away games(5 defeats/1 draw) and
obviously dont relish the trips up from Dumfries. Good value here too IMO.
ST MIRREN Away v Raith - 1.84
The Saints do have a very good First Division team, and were performing well
below par until the game v Hamilton, whom they sailed past in the cup
recently. Raith on the other hand just seem destined for Division 2, and
were beaten 2-0 at home last week in the cup by the lower division Alloa.
The return of Gordon Dalziel hasn't halted the poor form, and with 10 games
without a win, and having lost their last two v the Saints, they will
struggle here.
EAST STIRLING Home v Elgin - 2.8
East Stirling are no pushovers at home anymore and have only lost 2 of their
last five there(one to Peterhead.) They lead against Cowdenbeath this week
only to be pipped by a Deen Shiels hat trick, and their only success this
season was v Elgin, and with Elgin in a spot of bother, its anyones
game...good value i think.
HULL Home v Peterborough - 1.44
Hull's loss in the cup last week to Colchester, but that came as little
surprise with up to 7 first team players out injured. This week Barmby and
Ashbee should return, along with a few others. Having won 6 on the bounce in
the League, Hull should return to winning ways infront of a large crowd and
against poor travellers in Peterborough.
YEOVIL Away v Oxford Utd - 2.22
Yeovil have been scoring for fun recently, and their three late goals last
week to ensure a cup win should have them in bouyant mood. Oxford's form has
been a mixed bag, and seemingly unable to string any good results together,
there is value here.
2 UNIT DOUBLE
MORTON Home v Arbroath - 1.58
I like the look of Morton as a banker this week.Not the best odds, but with
Templeman and Weatherson(who has been filling in in defence in recent weeks)
back to spearhead the frontline, they should cause Arbroath plenty problems.
Their two wins over Arbroath already this season suggest they shouldnt have
many problems.
MONTROSE Home v Albion - 1.46
Mostly based on the state Albion are in, no wins in 13 games, and Montrose
have no problems scoring at home recently. As long as they keep it tight at
the back they should see off Rovers. Jered Stirlings loss to the away side
for upto 6 weeks is a further blow, although much depends on how the Albion
players react to the departure of manager Kevin McAllister.
FOREIGN TIP OF THE WEEK
JUVENTUS Away v Cagliari - approx 1.76
The bianconeri exited the Coppa Italia on Thursday with a 5-3 aggregate loss
to Atalanta, but in truth like so many big sides in Italy, it was never a
priority. Buffon, Nedved, Del Piero, Ibrahimovic, Thuram etc were all rested
with the Cagliari game in mind, and Juve will be fully focused on keeping
ahead of Milan in Serie A. Cagliari are one of the best Italian home sides,
but have suffered a recent dip in form, and while it should be close, the
return of Juve's stars and the motivation of the league should see them
through.
And thats all for this week folks. As always, keep an eye on team news for
any surprises before your bets, and if they still lose, you can come round
and beat seven colours of $hite out of me.
Cheerio.
Iain
All odds taken from betfair.
